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Kas ir gudrāk – iet balsot vai boikotēt vēlēšanas?

Jānis Pļaviņš –

Katrs no mums ir vairākkārt piekrāpts un emocionāli ir vēlme ir boikotēt šo vēlēšanu cirku. Es cilvēcīgi jūs pilnīgi saprotu un emocionāli šķiet vislabāk ir rīkoties tieši tā. Tomēr pirms pieņemt emocionālu lēmumu būtu tomēr jāiedziļinās un jāsaprot vai tas ir gudri boikotēt vēlēšanas, lai beigās nesanāk, ka mēs sev nodarām ļaunumu vienkārši aiz muļķības.

Ar ko sāksim, pirmkārt mums jānoskaidro, ko nosaka likums. Likums paredz, ka ja uz vēlēšanām aizies tikai 1 cilvēks un nobalsos par vienu partiju, tad šī partija iegūs 100% balsis. Likums nosaka, ka pietiek tikai ar 1 balsotāju un vēlēšanas skaitās notikušas un tās ir likumīgas.

Uzreiz apskatīsim hipotētisku vēlēšanu boikota piemēru. Lai vienkāršāk saprastu domu, mūsu piemērā ir 2 partijas 1 pozīcijas un 1 opozīcijas partija. Pieņemsim, ka pozīcijas partijai atbalsts sabiedrībā ir mazāks 40%, bet par opozīciju būtu gatavi balsot 60% cilvēku. Tātad šķietami opozīcijai būtu garantēta uzvara.  Bet, kas notiek tālāk.

Opozīcijas atbalstītāju daļa uzskata esošo opozīcijas partiju par vāju un ierosina boikotēt vēlēšanas. Viņi neveido savu sarakstu , bet aicina boikotēt vēlēšanas kā tādas. Viņi aktīvi aģitē par boikotu, un publika ir atsaucīga.

Pienāk vēlēšanu diena un tagad apskatīsim vēlēšanu boikota rezultātu:

  1. boikotētāji neatņēma balsis pozīcijas partijai un tāpat par to 40% aizgāja nobalsot. Varas partiju atbalstītāju neietekmēja boikota aģitācija.
  2. Tomēr boikotētāji atņēma balsis opozīcijas partijai un par to nobalsoja nevis 60%, bet tikai 30%, jo puse opozīcijas tika pārliecināti vispār boikotēt vēlēšanas.

Boikotētāji rīkojās ar mērķi kaitēt varas partijām, bet beigās izrādījās, ka viņi kaitēja tikai opozīcijai, kura zaudēja vēlēšanas, lai arī ja nebūtu tik daudz boikotētāju, viņi būtu uzvarējuši. Tikai pēc notikušā boikotētāji saprata, ka faktiski bija iešāvuši kājā paši sev, jo pat vājā opozīcija daudz labāk pārstāvēja viņu intereses nekā varas partiju mafija, pret kuru viņi aktīvi cīnās jau 30 gadus.

Beigās sanāca, ka boikotētāji bija tie, kuri aiz savas muļķības uzdāvināja uzvaru varas partijām, un pozīcija turpināja valdīt. Boikotētāji nespēj atņemt balsis pozīcijas atbalstītājiem, vienīgais, ko viņi izdarīja ir sašķēla protesta auditoriju, to daļu, kura atbalstīja opozīciju.

Ko mēs varam no šī piemēra mācīties? Vēlēšanu boikots nav variants. Ir tikai 2 varianti, vai nu pašam organizēt savu ideālo sarakstu, bet ja tāda nav, tad balsot par mazāko ļaunumu, kas šajā gadījumā bija “vājā opozīcija”.

Šādu pieeju – balsot par mazāko ļaunumu  ir ieviesis arī pazīstamais Krievijas opozīcijas līderis Aleksejs Navaļnijs un viņš to dēvē par gudro balsošanu. Tādēļ pat ja jūsuprāt nav vislabākā kandidāta, balsojiet vienkārši par mazāko ļaunumu, kuram ir cerības tikt ievēlētam. Citādi neejot uz vēlēšanām sanāk jūs faktiski dēļ savas nezināšanas atdodiet savu balsi uzreiz vecajai partiju mafijai, un vēl trakāk paši dēļ savas nekompetences domājiet, ka esat izdarījuši varoņdarbu.

Boikota naivums balstās uz utopiju, ka  būs iespējams pierunāt visus cilvēkus neaiziet uz vēlēšanām.

Tā ir pilnīgi naiva nerealizējama ideja, kurai var noticēt, atvainojiet, būšu skarbs tikai muļķis. Realitātē vēlēšanu zemākā aktivitāte vienmēr ir  vienmēr bijusi ap 30 procentiem, augstākā ap 60 procentiem. Tātad nav iespējams, ka neviens cilvēks neaizies uz vēlēšanām. Tas nekad tā nenotiks.

Ieskatāmies arī citu valstu pieredzē un vēlēšanu boikota vēsturē. Vēlēšanu boikots vēl nekur nav beidzies ar boikotētāju uzvaru. Tieši otrādi tas visbiežāk beidzas ar politisko pašnāvību? Ir ļoti daudz piemēru, kur Vēlēšanu boikotētāji ir tikuši sakauti un zaudējuši. Piemēram, 1997. gadā Serbijas opozīcija izlēma boikotēt vēlēšanas, kas nodrošināja spīdošu pozīcijas līdera Slobodana Miloševiča uzvaru, kas savukārt noveda līdz Kosovas militārajam konfliktam.
1992. Gadā Lībijas kristieši, kuriem tolaik parlamentā bija 30% balstu, izlēma boikotēt vēlēšanas, lai protestētu pret milzīgo Sīrijas ietekmi. Boikota rezultātā Lībijas kristieši tika pilnībā sakauti vēlēšanās un boikots tikai palīdzēja Sīrijas musulmaņu grupai Hezbullah būtiski stiprināt savas pozīcijas. Līdzīgu piemēru ir daudz.

Tādēļ aicinu visus rīkoties gudri un balsot kaut vai par vissliktāko opozīcijas kandidātu, bet nekādā gadījumā neboikotēt vēlēšanas, jo tā jūs savu balsi uzreiz atdodiet varas partiju mafijai, pret kuru jūs itkā cīnāties. Neesiet muļķi, jo tikai muļķis domā, ka izdosies ieriebt varas partiju kliķei, šaujot kājā pats sev. Rīkojieties gudri!
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  • Mainam pasauli – liekuļi esat??? Paši pret maskām un covid “it kā” esat, bet šobrīd sakat, ka jāiet uz vēlēšanām, jo savādāk uzvarēs pozīcijas partijas??? Ticēju jums, bet pēc šī raksta, vairs ne, sanāk esat uzpirkti, neesat patiesi, tikai grozat tautai galvu. 🙁 Liela vilšanās!!! Par ko balsot??? Visas opozīcijas partijas ir sistēmā, nav nevienas patiesas partijas, kas virzītu valsts attīstību, jo tādus cilvēkus līdz vēlēšanām vienkārši nepielaiž! Nav ko muldēt un cilvēkiem galvas čakarēt!!! Jūs pat savā aptaujā neiekļāvāt nevienu normālu variantu, par ko balsot – ar to viss pateikts – pēdējais “Boikotēšu vēlēšanas, atdodot savu balsi uzvarētājiem”, ar to viss pateikts – ja es neiešu uz vēlēšanām – sanāk atbalstu pozīcijas partijas??? Kas par muļķībām??? Ja neviens neies, tad tieši tā būs neuzticība sistēmai!!! Tad viņiem būs kaut kas cits jādomā, bet jūs aģitējat iet uz šīm “vēlēšanām”, kurās būs jāvelkt maskas un cimdus un atbalstīt sistēmu! Un dzēšat šo komentāru (šaubos, ka kāds to izlasīs – nepieļausiet!), bet tik tāpat jūs tas neglābs! Šai pasaules sistēmai tuvojas beigas, un katrs pēc nopelniem saņems, tikai Jūs liekuļojat… par to ļoti ‘žēl.. cilvēki ar visu drīz sapratīs. Sliktāki par DELFIiem esat! 🙁

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