Wednesday, January 27, 2021
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PVO spiesti atzīt, ka Covid nav bīstamāks par gripu

Veselības ārkārtas programmas vadītāja “labākās aplēses”, ka IFR (mirstības indekss) ir 0,14%. Pasaules Veselības organizācija beidzot ir apstiprinājusi to, ko daudzi eksperti un pētījumi apliecinājuši jau mēnešiem ilgi – koronavīruss nav nāvējošāks vai bīstamāks par sezonālo gripu, kuras IFR (mirstības indekss) ir vidēji 0,1 – 0,2%.

PVO augstākā līmeņa pārstāvji šo paziņojumu sniedza PVO 34 locekļu valdes īpašās sesijas laikā pirmdien, 5. oktobrī, tikai šķiet, ka neviens to īsti nesaprot. Radās iespaids, ka viņi paši to pilnībā nesaprata.

Ārkārtas situāciju vadītājs Dr Maikls Raiens atklāja, ka, viņuprāt, aptuveni 10% jeb 780 miljoni pasaules cilvēku ir inficēti ar Sars-Cov-2. Tas ir viņu “vislabākais novērtējums”, un tas ir milzīgs pieaugums salīdzinājumā ar oficiāli atzīto gadījumu skaitu (aptuveni 35 miljoni).

Vēlāk PVO pārstāve ārste Margareta Harisa apstiprināja šo skaitli, norādot, ka tas ir balstīts uz visu pasaulē veikto plašo Covid mirstības pētījumu vidējiem rezultātiem.

Lai arī PVO mēģināja to pagriezt kā sliktu lietu – Dr Raiens pat teica, ka tas nozīmē, ka “lielākā daļa pasaules joprojām ir pakļauta riskam”.

Tās patiesībā ir labas ziņas, jo tas nozīmē, ka vīrusa mirstības indekss ir pielīdzināms sezonas gripai.

Pasaules iedzīvotāju skaits ir aptuveni 7,8 miljardi cilvēku, ja 10% ir inficēti, tas ir, 780 miljoni gadījumu. Pašlaik Sars-Cov-2 infekcijām piedēvēto nāves gadījumu skaits pasaulē ir 1 061 539.

Tātad Covid-19 mirstība ir aptuveni 0,14% no visiem inficētajiem. Tieši atbilstoši sezonālajai gripai un daudzu ekspertu prognozēm no visas pasaules.

0,14% ir vairāk nekā 24 reizes mazāks nekā PVO provizoriskais rādītājs 3,4%, ar ko viņi biedēja martā. Šis skaitlis tika izmantots modeļos, kurus izmantoja, lai pamatotu lokdaunus un citus drakoniskus brīvības ierobežojumus.

Patiesībā, ņemot vērā pārmērīgo Covid nāves gadījumu pierakstīšanu, patiesais IFR, visticamāk, ir pat zemāks par 0,14%, un tas nozīmētu, ka Covid ir pat daudz mazāk bīstams nekā gripa.

Mediji par to klusē. Lai gan daudzās tika ziņots par Dr.Ryan secinājumiem, viņi visi to pasniedza kā biedējošu virsrakstu, lai turpinātu izplatīt vēl lielāku paniku. Vai tiešām neviens neiedomājās pārrēķināt Covid-19 IFR (mirstības indeksu).

Acīmredzot ne viņi, ne PVO nebija spējīgi veikt vienkāršo matemātiku, kas mums parāda, ka tā ir laba ziņa. Un ka Covid skeptiķiem visu laiku ir bijusi taisnība.

Vai pakļausies prasībai vilkt masku sabiedriskajā transportā, u.c.?
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